Latest publications / Public Good publications

Shadow Board is overwhelmingly in favour of keeping the OCR at 2.25 percent in April

New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media Release, 10 am Tuesday, 7 April 2026 For immediate release Read more

Living and adapting on the edge: New Zealand’s trade and trade policy in a changing world - NZIER Insight 125

New Zealand faces a more uncertain and fragmented global trading environment, requiring us to redouble our efforts on trade policy. Read more

NZIER Consensus Forecasts show expectations of a recovery in the New Zealand economy over the coming year - March 2026

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Shadow Board recommends that the Reserve Bank keep the OCR on hold in February

New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media Release, 10 am Monday, 16 February 2026 Read more

Labour market trajectories of disabled people – generating insights for more effective interventions - NZIER Insight 124

This Insight, the first of two produced in partnership with Workbridge, explores how the labour market pathways of disabled people can be better described and understood. Drawing on international research, we examine different approaches to identifying common patterns in employment ex … Read more

Planning to change - NZIER Insight 123

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NZIER Consensus Forecasts point to a weaker near-term growth outlook

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2025 Summer Reading List for the Prime Minister

New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media Release Read more

Shadow Board recommends a further 25 basis-point OCR cut in November

The majority of members in the NZIER Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommend that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) reduce the OCR by 25 basis points to 2.25 percent in the upcoming November Monetary Policy Statement. With the New Zealand economy starting to recover from a low bas … Read more

Majority of Shadow Board members recommend a 25 basis-point OCR cut in October

The NZIER Monetary Policy Shadow Board recommends that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) continue to cut the OCR in the upcoming October Monetary Policy Review, with the majority of members recommending a 25 basis-point cut. This reflects the view that excess capacity in the New … Read more

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