About member publications

About membership ws

Quarterly Predictions

Available to NZIER members only.

Issued four times a year, Quarterly Predictions contains detailed and comprehensive forecasts of the New Zealand economy.

The focus of our forecasts are on the composition and drivers of economic growth. Empirical analysis is complemented by an examination of related economic and policy issues, and any risks attached to the forecasts.

The statistical appendix contains historical and forecast numbers for over 300 series, including:

  • Economic growth
  • Inflation, including prices and wages
  • Monetary conditions, including interest rates and exchange rates
  • Retails sales
  • Exports, by sector
  • Building consents
  • Construction, by residential, non-residential & other.

Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion

Available to NZIER members only.

Begun in 1961, NZIER's Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion is New Zealand's longest running and most comprehensive business survey. The resulting indicators are a valuable tool for assessing the current state of the economy and forecasting short term economic activity.

The survey samples manufacturers, builders, architects, wholesalers and retailers, and service sector firms. Information from these industries provides useful indicators of future investment patterns, and the likely direction and composition of economic growth in coming quarters.

Firms are surveyed regarding both their recent experience and expectations for the next three to six months.

Results cover:

  • General business conditions
  • Output, sales and orders
  • Costs, prices and profits
  • Investment levels
  • Staffing levels
  • Difficulty finding skilled and unskilled labour
  • Constraints on production.

Latest member publications

NZIER’s QSBO shows Omicron’s impact on activity and confidence - Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, April 2022

NZIER’s QSBO shows Omicron’s impact on activity and confidence - Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, April 2022

April 12, 2022 3 min read
NZIER Consensus Forecasts show a mixed growth outlook amidst higher inflation

NZIER Consensus Forecasts show a mixed growth outlook amidst higher inflation

March 21, 2022 1 min read
Accelerating Omicron COVID-19 outbreak presents challenges to New Zealand recovery - Quarterly Predictions, March 2022

Accelerating Omicron COVID-19 outbreak presents challenges to New Zealand recovery - Quarterly Predictions, March 2022

March 01, 2022 2 min read