Latest publications / Public Good publications

Majority of the Shadow Board members recommend keeping the OCR on hold in May

There is a split of views amongst the NZIER Monetary Shadow Board regarding the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at the upcoming May Monetary Policy Statement. The majority of Shadow Board members recommend the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) keep the OCR at 2.25 percent. They viewed that … Read more

Risky business - NZIER Insight 127

Are New Zealand firms more reluctant to invest? This NZIER Insight examines whether businesses have become more hesitant to commit to major capital projects and whether that signals a broader shift in firm risk appetite. We explore how investment intentions, liquidity positions, borro … Read more

Looking forward, looking backwards - NZIER Insight 126

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Shadow Board is overwhelmingly in favour of keeping the OCR at 2.25 percent in April

New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media Release, 10 am Tuesday, 7 April 2026 For immediate release Read more

Living and adapting on the edge: New Zealand’s trade and trade policy in a changing world - NZIER Insight 125

New Zealand faces a more uncertain and fragmented global trading environment, requiring us to redouble our efforts on trade policy. Read more

NZIER Consensus Forecasts show expectations of a recovery in the New Zealand economy over the coming year - March 2026

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Shadow Board recommends that the Reserve Bank keep the OCR on hold in February

New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media Release, 10 am Monday, 16 February 2026 Read more

Labour market trajectories of disabled people – generating insights for more effective interventions - NZIER Insight 124

This Insight, the first of two produced in partnership with Workbridge, explores how the labour market pathways of disabled people can be better described and understood. Drawing on international research, we examine different approaches to identifying common patterns in employment ex … Read more

Planning to change - NZIER Insight 123

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NZIER Consensus Forecasts point to a weaker near-term growth outlook

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