Assessing forecast performance
June 16, 2016
The Reserve Bank today published a Bulletin article documenting the performance of the Bank’s forecasts over the period 2009 to 2015. Read more
Addressing critical gaps in the government’s open data investments - a Public Good Programme study
May 27, 2016
Big data – the application of large dataset to generate new insights about how to solve complex problems – has the potential to generate transformational change. New Zealand, like other Governments, has a number of initiatives currently underway to open up New Zealand government-held … Read more
Costly investment decisions require improved population forecasts - NZIER Insight 47
August 25, 2014
Investing wisely today for the New Zealand of tomorrow requires a detailed understanding of how many people there will be and where we will work and live. Billions of dollars of infrastructure spending are at stake. Yet past estimates of New Zealand's population, on which these invest … Read more
Economic assessment of Chatham Rock Phosphate : input to environmental impact assessment
September 10, 2012
Chatham Rock Phosphate is investigating a phosphate-mining project (the CRP project). NZIER have been asked to analyse the impacts of the CRP project on the New Zealand economy. This report documents an investigation of the economy-wide, monetary costs and benefits, with further consi … Read more
QSBO as a forecasting tool - NZIER working paper 2011/5
October 19, 2011
This paper investigates using Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) data to forecast GDP and inflation a year ahead of official data releases using a VAR model and principal component analysis. The key finding is that applying such an approach to QSBO data provides robust predic … Read more
QSBO performance indices : How useful are they?
October 12, 2011
This paper assesses the predictive power of performance indices, constructed from Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (Q SBO) data, to forecast economic activity. Read more
QSBO bibliography : selected research using the NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion
May 30, 2011
NZIER working paper 2004/2 by Robert Buckle and Brian Silverstone. Revised and updated May 2011 Read more
A brief history of the QSBO: 1961-2011
March 14, 2011
NZIER’s Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) is one of New Zealand’s leading economic indicators. March 2011 marked the 50th anniversary of the QSBO. The QSBO provides data driven insights into how firms are responding to current economic events. Due to its reliability and resp … Read more
CMDHB : health service needs and labour force projections - implications of a growing and ageing population
March 28, 2006
In 2005/2006 NZIER undertook a series of studies for Counties Manakau DHB, designed to create informed decisions behind actions to develop the Health Workforce in the DHB's area. The following reports have been published jointly by the DHB and the NZIER and can be accessed via the att … Read more