Latest publications

NZIER’s Shadow Board still favour QE over negative OCR for stimulus

We are continuing to seek our Shadow Board members’ views on whether the Official Cash Rate (OCR) should be negative and if the Reserve Bank should expand its quantitative easing (QE). Fewer Board members see further quantitative easing as appropriate over the coming year. This follow … Read more

NZIER Consensus Forecasts show a wide range of forecasts

The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts continues to show a wide range of forecasts for the economy, reflecting a large degree of uncertainty over the growth outlook. The announcement on 11 August of new COVID-19 cases in the community, and the subsequent return of Auckland to Alert Leve … Read more

Regulators are the new diplomats - the role of IRC in a post-COVID world - NZIER Insight 92

New research shows that the New Zealand Government is deeply imbedded in a complex web of international regulatory cooperation (IRC) arrangements and agreements. Bilateral agreements with Australia predominate including regulatory harmonisation on food standards and the Trans Tasman M … Read more

Is dairy our biggest achievement or yesterday's news? NZIER Insight 91

The dairy industry has proved resilient through the COVID crisis. But what of the future? This paper looks at the dairy industry prospects over the next ten years. We find that the most important challenges are domestic supply side issues (conforming to climate change and water qualit … Read more

The potential local and regional impacts of COVID-19 in New Zealand with a focus on tourism - NZIER Public Discussion Paper 2020/3

This working paper was prepared at NZIER by Christina Leung, Laëtitia Leroy de Morel, Glyn Wittwer (CoPS) and Dion Gämperle. It was presented at the 23rd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis organised by GTAP (17–19 June 2020). Read more

The retail employment and tax costs of Class 4 gambling in New Zealand

NZIER’s report shows that Class 4 gambling expenditure could generate over $445m additional retail industry sales per annum, resulting in an extra 1,127 full-time equivalent jobs. Given that Class 4 gambling machines are concentrated in high deprivation areas, this preliminary analysi … Read more

What might US Withdrawal from the World Trade Organization (WTO) mean for New Zealand?

Modelling by NZIER suggests that New Zealand medium term exposure to US withdrawal from World Trade Organisation (WTO) is surprisingly limited. We modelled five different scenarios of global and New Zealand responses to the US imposing tariff rates last seen in the great depression. W … Read more

Literature scan on the economic effects of social protection expenditure

NZIER report to a coalition of non-government organisations with an interest in poverty. NZIER prepared a literature scan to provide theoretical and evidential insights to a coalition of non-government organisations (with an interest in poverty) into the microeconomic and long term ma … Read more

Independent schools: What would a smart state do? Putting it simply

Independent Schools of New Zealand commissioned NZIER to review the role of the independent schools sector and to review the performance of state system schools. In brief we found that independent schools improve student outcomes with higher PISA scores and NCEA endorsement rates (aro … Read more

NZIER’s Shadow Board considers negative OCR unnecessary

We are continuing to seek our Shadow Board members’ views on whether the Official Cash Rate (OCR) should be negative and if the Reserve Bank should expand its quantitative easing (QE). Read more

Subscribe to receive our newsletters