Latest publications

Shadow Board recommends the Reserve Bank increases the OCR by 50 basis points in February

Shadow Board members recommend that the Reserve Bank continue increasing the Official Cash Rate (OCR). The broad view was a 50 basis-points increase in the OCR at the Reserve Bank’s February meeting, given inflation pressures in the New Zealand economy remain strong. Only one member r … Read more

Brewing in New Zealand: The economic contribution of the brewing industry in 2022

The New Zealand brewing industry is valued at $3.3 billion in the year to September 2022. On-licence sales account for 64% of the estimated value of $2.1 billion, and off-licence sales account for the remaining 36% at $1.2 billion. Read more

Overcoming preconceptions: How big data can gain a social licence in New Zealand - NZIER Insight 105

NZIER Insight 105 is a companion to NZIER Insight 103, in which we examined how the Integrated Data Infrastructure (IDI), administered by Stats NZ, is used in New Zealand for research and how this is helping us to make better policy decisions. In Insight 105, we examine how the IDI ca … Read more

Assessing housing shortages in New Zealand

Before the COVID-19 pandemic, strong migration-led population growth boosted demand in New Zealand, including for housing. With housing construction slow to respond, the limited supply of new housing moving onto the market exacerbated the housing shortage. Read more

Ki te kotahi te kakaho ka whati, Ki te kapuia e kore e whati: The case for more devolved social services in Te Tairāwhiti

We have known for decades that many people in Aotearoa New Zealand experience persistent disadvantage. Addressing disadvantage should be a priority for the government: to improve the lives of the people affected, meet its obligations under Te Tiriti o Waitangi, and lay the foundations … Read more

QSBO shows business sentiment and activity taking a turn for the worse - Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, January 2023

The latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) shows a deterioration in business sentiment and activity. The survey was open from 28 November 2022 to 9 January 2023 and captured the effects of the more hawkish than expected November Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) on 23 … Read more

NZIER Consensus Forecasts show a weaker economic outlook for years beyond 2024 - December 2022

The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts show a stronger starting point for the New Zealand economy over the coming year but a downward revision for 2025 and 2026. Although the economy appears resilient despite the sharp rise in interest rates over the past year, expectations that interes … Read more

2022 Summer Reading List for the Prime Minister

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Community pharmaceuticals : Expenditure trends

NZIER report to Medicines New Zealand. Read more

Inflation and rising interest rates remain key headwinds for the economy - Quarterly Predictions, December 2022

New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (Inc) Media Release, 29 November 2022 Read more

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