Latest publications / Economy (2)

The myth of the shrinking state? What does the data show about the size of the state in New Zealand?

The paper explores the urban myth that the economic reforms of the late 1980 and 1990s reduced the size of the state. It uses a variety of lenses – the state as taxer, spender, producer, employer, investor, and steward – to assess how the size and shape of the state has changed.   It … Read more

Impact of the Cawthron Institute: economic contribution to Nelson and New Zealand

Report for the Cawthron Institute Read more

The Auckland Māori economy : size, issues and opportunities

The Auckland Māori economy accounts for 4%-5% of the Auckland economy, and 26%-27% of the national Māori economy. The Auckland Māori economy is smaller than might be expected, given that the Māori population accounts for 10% of Aucklanders. Māori GDP per capita is 55%-65% lower than t … Read more

Regional economies : shape, performance and drivers

Divergence and the search for a solution Economic performance is uneven across New Zealand’s regions. For example, there are differences across household incomes, unemployment and population growth in the latest Census. Read more

2013 Western market visitor growth : what explains the increase in advanced-economy visitors?

A report to Tourism New Zealand. International arrivals to New Zealand in 2013 grew at the fastest pace in a decade. Visitor arrivals were up 6.1% boosted by a rebound across several advanced economies and good performance by emerging markets like China. Our analysis shows that New Ze … Read more

Migrants increase our incomes - NZIER Insight 44

A new Insight from the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) shows that increasing net migration would lift incomes not just for immigrants but for the native population. An additional 40,000 people a year for 10 years increases GDP per capita by a chunky $410 a year. "A … Read more

Fighting fit? Assessing New Zealand's fiscal sustainability

New Zealand faces a huge fiscal cost from an ageing population so we need to start making tough fiscal decisions now. We have the room to make adjustments and history shows our politicians do respond to increases in debt by adjusting taxes or spending. The sooner changes are made, the … Read more

NZ is no Greece or Italy, but needs to face up to long term issues - NZIER Insight 41

Like much of the world, New Zealand's economy is still feeling the lingering consequences of the global financial crisis and the hang-over of its own asset price bubble. The economy is recovering slowly. In the last few years, households have spent cautiously and paid down mortgages. … Read more

The host with the most? Rethinking the costs and benefits of hosting major events - NZIER Insight 40

Hosting large events like the Rugby World Cup are expensive undertakings. That makes value-for-money evaluation critical. But most impact event analysis doesn't stack up, missing displacement effects. It means benefits are often far smaller than people think. Read more

Use macro-prudential tools to improve inflation targeting - NZIER Insight 39

Before Graeme Wheeler starts his new job as Governor of the Reserve Bank, he must sign a new Policy Targets Agreement (PTA) that sets the goalposts for monetary policy. This is an opportunity to introduce macro-prudential tools to help ease the exchange rate impact of inflation target … Read more

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