What might US Withdrawal from the World Trade Organization (WTO) mean for New Zealand?

August 11, 2020

Modelling by NZIER suggests that New Zealand medium term exposure to US withdrawal from World Trade Organisation (WTO) is surprisingly limited. We modelled five different scenarios of global and New Zealand responses to the US imposing tariff rates last seen in the great depression. While impact is negative for both the US and China in all scenarios, the change in New Zealand GDP is less than 1%.